{"id":12461,"date":"2014-12-02T12:38:15","date_gmt":"2014-12-02T17:38:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ebola.local\/?p=12461"},"modified":"2021-06-21T14:35:32","modified_gmt":"2021-06-21T18:35:32","slug":"the-power-of-behavior-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ebolacommunicationnetwork.org\/fr\/the-power-of-behavior-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Le pouvoir du changement de comportement"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"USAID-ebola-burial-practices\"<\/a>Le journal La nature a un sp\u00e9cial sur Ebola<\/a>, rassemblant tous ses rapports sur le virus en un seul endroit. Un de ces articles,\u00a0Les mod\u00e8les surestiment les cas d'Ebola<\/a>, repose sur l'incapacit\u00e9 des mod\u00e8les math\u00e9matiques \u00e0 pr\u00e9dire avec pr\u00e9cision l'\u00e9volution de l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie. Dans une lettre int\u00e9ressante en r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 cet article, les auteurs attribuent une "perception culturelle alt\u00e9r\u00e9e" qui a permis un changement de comportement, changeant le cours de l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie pour le mieux.<\/p>\n

Ci-dessous le texte de la r\u00e9ponse. La lettre, ainsi que d'autres du num\u00e9ro du 26 novembre, peuvent \u00eatre trouv\u00e9es ici sur le site de Nature<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Ebola : le pouvoir du changement de comportement<\/h2>\n
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Sans inclure les r\u00e9ponses sociales, culturelles et comportementales \u00e0 l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie d'Ebola, les mod\u00e8les peuvent surestimer la taille de l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie (La nature<\/i> 515<\/b>, 18<\/span>; 2014<\/span><\/a>).<\/p>\n

La r\u00e9ponse comportementale, d\u00e9clench\u00e9e par une \u00e9pid\u00e9mie, peut ralentir ou m\u00eame stopper la transmission du virus (voir S.Funk<\/span><\/span> et al<\/i>. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. Etats-Unis<\/i> 106<\/b>, 6872<\/span>\u20136877<\/span>; 2009<\/span><\/a>). En effet, la modification de la perception culturelle en r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la maladie a permis au comportement des gens de changer d'une mani\u00e8re qui a contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 contenir les \u00e9pid\u00e9mies dans le pass\u00e9 (voir BS Hewlett<\/span><\/span> et RP Amola<\/span><\/span> Urgence Infecter. Dis.<\/i> 9<\/b>, 1242<\/span>\u20131248<\/span>; 2003<\/span><\/a>).<\/p>\n

Les rapports de Foya au Lib\u00e9ria indiquent que l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie y est maintenant en d\u00e9clin. Une campagne d'information locale pour changer les pratiques fun\u00e9raires et autres comportements semble avoir port\u00e9 ses fruits.<\/p>\n

Plus d'aide et plus de personnel sont n\u00e9cessaires de toute urgence, mais il en va de m\u00eame pour l'implication des communaut\u00e9s locales et la fourniture d'informations qui peuvent aider \u00e0 contenir cette \u00e9pid\u00e9mie.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

Sebastian Funk, Gwenan M. Knight London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Londres, Royaume-Uni.<\/em>
\n Vincent AA Jansen Universit\u00e9 Royal Holloway de Londres, Egham, Surrey, Royaume-Uni.<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The journal Nature has a special on Ebola, collecting all its reporting on the virus in one place. One of those articles,\u00a0Models overestimate Ebola cases, is on the failure of mathematical models to accurately predict the epidemic\u2019s course. 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